MX23RW : Friday, January 17 12:42:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Issouf Bayo (9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford

Given their contrasting home and away records, many will back Plymouth to come through this contest. However, we are backing an entertaining share of the spoils, a result that would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
39.21% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 23.45% (0.251 0.25) 37.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.289 -1.29)38.14% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-1.385 -1.39)60.41% (1.387 1.39)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)19.83% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.954 -0.95)51.91% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.71% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-1.052 -1.05)53.32% (1.054 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 39.21%
    Watford 37.34%
    Draw 23.45%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.248 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
36.2%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
42.1%
152
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-0
Plymouth
Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')

Houghton (45+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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