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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds

Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Leeds
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

The quick turnaround brings around a certain level of uncertainty with both managers likely to be tempted with some rotation. However, combined with their respective form, we feel that a low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
24.58% (0.671 0.67) 24.03% (0.516 0.52) 51.39% (-1.195 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-1.603 -1.6)47.02% (1.595 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-1.516 -1.52)69.26% (1.506 1.51)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (-0.3 -0.3)33.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (-0.328 -0.33)69.95% (0.31899999999999 0.32)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.053 -1.05)18.3% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-1.812 -1.81)49.38% (1.802 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 24.58%
    Leeds United 51.38%
    Draw 24.03%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.38%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
43.7%
Draw
30.7%
Leeds United
25.6%
199
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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