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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
56.73% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() | 19.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.98% (![]() | 53.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% (![]() | 74.61% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% (![]() | 18.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% (![]() | 49.77% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% (![]() | 41.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% (![]() | 78.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 13.11% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.05% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 66 |
2 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
4 | Sunderland | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 19 | 58 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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