MX23RW : Thursday, February 6 22:33:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Portsmouth

Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')
Baah (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Watford and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth may have enjoyed success in their recent home outing against Coventry, but they struggled to produce their best form on the road this season, and given their poor away record against Watford, we think that they will be left empty-handed in their Boxing Day clash with the Hornets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
56.73% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 24.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 19.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)53.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.012 -0.01)18.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)78.42% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 56.72%
    Portsmouth 19.2%
    Draw 24.07%
WatfordDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Watford vs Portsmouth

Watford
74.5%
Draw
17.6%
Portsmouth
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Watford
3-0
Portsmouth
Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Watford
Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')
Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Watford
4-2
Portsmouth
Mahon (46'), Bouazza (73', 28' pen.), Priskin (51')
Taylor (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds31199362194366
2Burnley31161323792861
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn31136123531445
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry31118124140141
12Watford30125134042-241
13Queens Park RangersQPR311011103540-541
14Millwall301010103027340
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31910123445-1137
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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