Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford2 - 1Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Watford 3-1 Portsmouth
Portsmouth may have enjoyed success in their recent home outing against Coventry, but they struggled to produce their best form on the road this season, and given their poor away record against Watford, we think that they will be left empty-handed in their Boxing Day clash with the Hornets. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
56.73% ( -0.06) | 24.07% ( 0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( 0.03) | 53.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( 0.02) | 74.61% ( -0.02) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -0.01) | 18.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.02) | 49.77% ( 0.03) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.01% ( 0.08) | 41.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.58% ( 0.07) | 78.42% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 56.72%
Portsmouth 19.2%
Draw 24.07%
| Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.2% |
How you voted: Watford vs Portsmouth
Watford
74.5%Draw
17.6%Portsmouth
7.8%51
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Apr 9, 2007 3pm
Form Guide
