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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (72'), Pring (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both sides have made strong starts to the 2024-25 season, but the hosts have been formidable at home, yet to lose any of their seven league games, and we believe the hosts will extend that run with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
44.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 26.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 28.6% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)54.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.117 0.12)34.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.128 0.13)70.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.86%
    Bristol City 28.6%
    Draw 26.52%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.4%
Draw
8.2%
Bristol City
16.4%
61
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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