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Chinese Super League playoffs | Quarter-finals
Oct 21, 2020 at 12.35pm UK
Tianhe Stadium

Evergrande
5 - 0
Hebei

Talisca (27', 62'), Fernandinho (36', 56'), Paulinho (81')
Linpeng (11')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ximing (40')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Quarter-finals clash between Guangzhou and Hebei.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Hebei China Fortune win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawHebei
58.51%23.26%18.22%
Both teams to score 47.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78%51.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95%73.05%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49%47.51%
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94%42.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51%78.49%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 58.51%
    Hebei 18.22%
    Draw 23.26%
GuangzhouDrawHebei
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.51%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 18.22%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2020 12.35pm
Quarter-finals
Hebei
1-3
Guangzhou
Hongbo (38')
Zhang (35'), Bao (52'), Memisevic (78')
Wu (65'), Elkeson (87' pen.), Shihao (90+1')
Xin (56')
Sep 20, 2020 1am
Gameweek 24
Guangzhou
P-P
Hebei
May 1, 2020 1am
Gameweek 9
Hebei
P-P
Guangzhou
Nov 27, 2019 11.35am
Gameweek 29
Hebei
1-3
Guangzhou
Lavezzi (81')
Russell (57')
Talisca (12'), Paulinho (41', 58')
Jun 22, 2019 12.35pm
Gameweek 14
Guangzhou
2-1
Hebei
Dinghao (8'), Shihao (60')
Chao (63')
Marcao (69')
Qiuming (22'), Junzhe (52')
rhs 2.0
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