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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Nov 4, 2022 at 11am UK
Tianhe Stadium
Cangzhou Mighty Lions

Guangzhou
3 - 3
Cangzhou

Cai (40'), Yang (44', 51')
Yang (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Maritu (14'), Owusu-Sekyere (38'), Piao (59')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-1 Guangzhou
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-2 Cangzhou
Saturday, October 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
GuangzhouDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
27.61% (0.595 0.59) 25.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 47.25% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (0.019000000000002 0.02)71.43% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.47199999999999 0.47)32.14% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.531 0.53)68.63% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.286 -0.29)20.93% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (-0.45 -0.45)53.66% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 27.61%
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 47.25%
    Draw 25.14%
GuangzhouDrawCangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.25%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 1pm
Cangzhou
2-0
Guangzhou
Yang (52'), Liu (66')

Shihao (90+3')
Aug 2, 2021 11am
Guangzhou
5-2
Cangzhou
Goulart (3', 44', 88'), Shihao (19', 21')
Zhong (64')
Zang (24'), Pengfei (41')
Sunzu (81')
May 9, 2021 1pm
Cangzhou
0-2
Guangzhou
Zhunyi (35'), Yang (87')
Zhi (16'), Wu (28'), Yang (88')
Aug 21, 2020 1am
Apr 17, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
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