MX23RW : Monday, November 11 16:34:20| >> :60:897:897:
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Stade Municipal Pierre-Aliker

Martinique
0 - 0
Guadeloupe

FT

Roussillon (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Martinique and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinique
Friday, October 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Martinique
Friday, October 11 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Martinique 2-1 Guadeloupe

The two sides proved to be closely matched in Friday's reverse fixture, and with that in mind, we expect Tuesday's contest to be another close-fought affair. However, Martinique would have taken significant confidence from the recent 1-0 win, and we think that they will draw inspiration from that experience to beat a country that have lost three of their last five away games in the Nations League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Martinique had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Martinique win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
MartiniqueDrawGuadeloupe
31.63% (-0.969 -0.97) 24.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 43.8% (0.99 0.99)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (-0.274 -0.27)44.86% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.265 -0.27)67.21% (0.271 0.27)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.738 -0.74)27.04% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.98 -0.98)62.4% (0.986 0.99)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.333 0.33)20.58% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (0.52 0.52)53.12% (-0.514 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Martinique 31.63%
    Guadeloupe 43.8%
    Draw 24.57%
MartiniqueDrawGuadeloupe
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.8%

How you voted: Martinique vs Guadeloupe

Martinique
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Guadeloupe
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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