Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.