CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
We said: Suriname 0-1 Costa Rica
One of the main constants with the Costa Ricans, regardless of who is in charge, has been their solid defensive structure, and we believe they will narrowly defeat an improved Suriname side, who have played a little more aggressively under Menzo and tend to leave themselves exposed to a counter.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.18% . A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (9.68%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%) , while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (3.99%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood .
Result Suriname Draw Costa Rica 71.18% ( 0.37) 18.2% ( -0.29) 10.61% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 44.33% ( 0.62)
54.42% ( 1.01) 45.58% ( -1.01)
32.09% ( 0.95) 67.9% ( -0.95)
88.5% ( 0.39) 11.5% ( -0.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.62% ( 0.83) 36.37% ( -0.83)
50.09% ( 0.48) 49.91% ( -0.48)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.41% ( 0.33) 84.59% ( -0.33)
Suriname 71.18%
Costa Rica 10.61%
Draw 18.2%
Suriname Draw Costa Rica 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.18% 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 18.2% 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.61%
How you voted: Suriname vs Costa Rica
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rhs 2.0
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