MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 14:18:09| >> :60:1081:1081:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
vs.
Melgar

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Deportes Tolima and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

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Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Medellin (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Melgar

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Last Game: Melgar 1-1 Aurora
Thursday, February 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Melgar has a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Melgar win it is 0-1 (8.03%).

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawMelgar
51.91% (2.351 2.35) 25.96% (-0.562 -0.56) 22.13% (-1.793 -1.79)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.504 0.5)56.81% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.401 0.4)77.74% (-0.405 -0.41)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (1.247 1.25)21.96% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74% (1.858 1.86)55.25% (-1.862 -1.86)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-1.453 -1.45)41.05% (1.449 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-1.318 -1.32)77.6% (1.315 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 51.9%
    Melgar 22.13%
    Draw 25.95%
Deportes TolimaDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 13.66% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.547 0.55)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.461 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.241 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.9%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.488 -0.49)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.13%

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5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
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7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
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