Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Tolima1 - 2Tigre
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Tigre.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 0-0 Tigre
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Tigre |
33.62% ( 0.01) | 27.2% ( -0.01) | 39.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( 0.06) | 55.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( 0.05) | 76.58% ( -0.05) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.04) | 30.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( 0.04) | 67.26% ( -0.04) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.03) | 27.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.92% ( 0.04) | 63.09% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Deportes Tolima 33.61%
Tigre 39.18%
Draw 27.19%
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.18% |
How you voted: Tolima vs Tigre
Deportes Tolima
50.0%Draw
16.7%Tigre
33.3%12
