MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:16:31| >> :60:109:109:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ramon Aguilera Costas

Oriente
1 - 3
Tacuary

Rojas Cespedes (87')
David Villalba Jacquet (36'), Paz (85'), Sanchez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valdeci (30'), Nunez (43'), David Villalba Jacquet (78' og.)
Medina (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Oriente Petrolero and Tacuary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Oriente 0-4 Bragantino
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Tacuary 0-4 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Tacuary

Both teams have struggled defensively of late, and it is hard to see either of them coming away with a clean sheet. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Oriente PetroleroDrawTacuary
56.21% (-0.158 -0.16) 24.33% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 19.46% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)53.68% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.17% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.98% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (-0.129 -0.13)50.52% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Tacuary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.099000000000004 0.1)42.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.084999999999997 0.08)78.51% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oriente Petrolero 56.2%
    Tacuary 19.46%
    Draw 24.32%
Oriente PetroleroDrawTacuary
1-0 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Oriente vs Tacuary

Oriente Petrolero
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Tacuary
33.3%
6
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Tacuary
3-1
Oriente
Carius (14', 52'), Aranda (57')
Alvarez (29' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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