Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
