Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.