Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Aalesund win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stabaek Football in this match.