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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 5 | 13 | 15 |
2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | FC Twente | 5 | 8 | 12 |
6 | Heerenveen | 5 | 5 | 9 |
7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
86.43% ( 0.19) | 8.91% ( -0.09) | 4.66% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.84% ( -0.11) | 21.15% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.28% ( -0.16) | 39.72% ( 0.16) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.76% ( 0) | 3.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.66% ( 0.02) | 14.33% ( -0.03) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.19% ( -0.5) | 46.8% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.66% ( -0.39) | 82.33% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
3-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.51% Total : 86.42% | 1-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 8.91% | 1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 4.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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