MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 17:19:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
5 - 0
Heerenveen

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
Alvarez (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

van Beek (15'), Bochniewicz (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Rangers
Wednesday, September 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 4-0 Heerenveen

Ajax have dominated this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to see that changing here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a comfortable victory at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 4.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 4-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
86.43% (0.18900000000001 0.19) 8.91% (-0.085899999999999 -0.09) 4.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.84% (-0.113 -0.11)21.15% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.28% (-0.159 -0.16)39.72% (0.156 0.16)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.66% (0.021999999999991 0.02)14.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19% (-0.504 -0.5)46.8% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66% (-0.386 -0.39)82.33% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 86.42%
    Heerenveen 4.66%
    Draw 8.91%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
3-0 @ 10.19% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 8.74% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6% (0.071 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 86.42%
1-1 @ 3.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.51% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 8.91%
1-2 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 4.66%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
85.3%
Draw
8.8%
Heerenveen
5.9%
34
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 7pm
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Heerenveen
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (19'), Tadic (63' pen.), Neres (77')
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')
Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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