Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.