B. Leverkusen2 - 0Sparta Prague
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League
for
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Sparta Prague
Given Sparta have already been eliminated from the competition, it would be surprising if they put up much resistance against their hosts. Leverkusen could score multiple goals on Wednesday considering the visitors have been poor defensively in the Champions League, and they should be confident of qualifying automatically for the round of 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Sparta Prague |
81.3% ( -0) | 11.66% ( 0) | 7.04% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
