P. New Guinea

1 - 2

Solomon Islands

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solomon Islands in this match.