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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
9.65% ( -0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.18) | 75.43% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.21% ( 0.89) | 32.79% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.52% ( 1.02) | 54.48% ( -1.02) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( 0.6) | 43.15% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.58% ( 0.5) | 79.42% ( -0.5) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.73% ( 0.25) | 7.27% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.68% ( 0.64) | 26.32% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.65% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.92% | 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.19% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |