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Fortuna Sittard
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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Ouwejan (79' og.)
Haye (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-2 NEC

 Almere City have been very poor this season and come into this match having only earned a single point in five home games this term, scoring just twice while conceding 15 goals over that period. While NEC have not been at their best either in this campaign, that solid victory against Heerenveen last week would have done their confidence a world of good, and we feel they will follow up on that result with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
14.17% (0.633 0.63) 17.69% (0.67 0.67) 68.14% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.15% (-1.822 -1.82)33.86% (1.825 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.3% (-2.099 -2.1)55.7% (2.102 2.1)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-0.344 -0.34)36.52% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.348 -0.35)73.31% (0.351 0.35)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.92% (-0.755 -0.75)9.08% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.13% (-1.851 -1.85)30.87% (1.854 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 14.17%
    NEC 68.14%
    Draw 17.69%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 4.04% (0.167 0.17)
1-0 @ 3.34% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.404 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.306 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.69%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.152 0.15)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.239 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.471 0.47)
1-3 @ 7.69% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 7.63% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.61% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-4 @ 4.58% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-5 @ 2.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 68.14%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
14.6%
Draw
12.2%
NEC
73.2%
41
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Almere City
1-4
Nijmegen
Van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 35
Almere City
P-P
Nijmegen
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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