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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
12.1% ( 0.02) | 17.51% ( 0.04) | 70.39% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( -0.14) | 38.25% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.15) | 60.53% ( 0.15) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.5% ( -0.06) | 42.5% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( -0.05) | 78.87% ( 0.05) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.29% ( -0.05) | 9.71% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( -0.12) | 32.36% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.1% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.51% | 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 70.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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