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Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Twente logo

Almere City
0 - 5
FC Twente


Haye (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Steijn (9', 45+1'), Lammers (55'), van Wolfswinkel (73'), Salah-Eddine (75')
Eiting (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-2 FC Twente

After losing 7-1 to PSV at home earlier in the season, Almere will be desperately looking to avoid another heavy defeat at the hands of an Eredivisie powerhouse this weekend. Twente appeared to be returning to their best form in the home win over Heerenveen last time out, and we expect the Tukkers to record their second victory of the week at Yanmar Stadion on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
12.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 17.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 70.39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (-0.142 -0.14)38.25% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.15 -0.15)60.53% (0.148 0.15)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)42.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.052 -0.05)78.87% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)9.71% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (-0.122 -0.12)32.36% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 12.1%
    FC Twente 70.39%
    Draw 17.51%
Almere CityDrawFC Twente
1-0 @ 3.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.1%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 17.51%
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-3 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 70.39%

How you voted: Almere City vs FC Twente

Almere City
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
FC Twente
82.8%
29
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
FC Twente
3-1
Almere City
Kjolo (10'), Steijn (52'), Rots (84')
Regeer (19')
Hansen (73')
Akujobi (29')
Aug 13, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
Almere City
1-4
FC Twente
Post (72')
Floranus (27'), van Bruggen (32'), Esajas (69')
van Bruggen (74')
Propper (59'), Vlap (66'), Van Wolfswinkel (90+2', 90+4')
Jan 26, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 22
Almere City
1-3
FC Twente
Meijer (50')
Receveur (23'), Loen (34'), van Vlerken (53')
Cantalapiedra (8'), Boere (36'), Monsalve (72')
Brama (41')
Oct 26, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 11
FC Twente
1-0
Almere City
Boere (9')

Loen (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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