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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Heracles |
67.21% ( 0.17) | 18.65% ( -0.07) | 14.14% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.09% ( 0.1) | 60.91% ( -0.09) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.41% ( 0.07) | 10.59% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.63% ( 0.15) | 34.37% ( -0.15) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.37% ( -0.08) | 39.63% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.69% ( -0.07) | 76.31% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 67.2% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.65% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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