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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
41.25% ( 0.71) | 24.96% ( -0.02) | 33.79% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -0.07) | 45.92% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -0.07) | 68.23% ( 0.07) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( 0.31) | 22.21% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( 0.47) | 55.63% ( -0.47) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( -0.44) | 26.22% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( -0.6) | 61.32% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Willem II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
7 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
11 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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