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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
60.6% (![]() | 20.22% (![]() | 19.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% (![]() | 36.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% (![]() | 58.49% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% (![]() | 11.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.28% (![]() | 36.72% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% (![]() | 32.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% (![]() | 68.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.17% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
11 | FC Twente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |