MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:53:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
PEC Zwolle

Nijmegen
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Rober (87')
Pereira (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fichtinger (36'), El Azzouzi (45+1'), Lutonda (46')
Lutonda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-5 Feyenoord
Sunday, August 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 PEC Zwolle

While both these sides have made very underwhelming starts to the season, PEC have looked particularly poor so far, and we feel that the hosts will be able to grind out their first win of the new campaign here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawPEC Zwolle
60.6% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 20.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 19.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (-0.052 -0.05)36.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (-0.058 -0.06)58.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)11.66% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)36.72% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)32.29% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    NEC 60.6%
    PEC Zwolle 19.18%
    Draw 20.22%
NECDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 60.6%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.18%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle

NEC
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
PEC Zwolle
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Nijmegen
2-2
PEC Zwolle
Ogawa (47', 53' pen.)
Hoedemakers (27'), Sandler (86')
Lam (10'), Velanas (68')
El Azzouzi (28'), Velanas (36'), Garcia McNulty (38'), Czyborra (90+2')
Dec 9, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-3
Nijmegen
Namli (75')
van den Berg (90')
Tavsan (43'), Van Rooij (46'), Baas (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Nijmegen
Redan (27')
Nakayama (8'), van Wermeskerken (86')
Voet (69')
Bruijn (26')
Vet (42'), Verdonk (72')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Akman (4'), Okita (42')
Duelund (18'), Okita (36'), Bruijn (54'), Elkarouani (73')

Clement (53'), Reijnders (82'), van den Belt (85')
Kersten (88')
Feb 10, 2017 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV44001831512
2AZ AlkmaarAZ431050510
3FC UtrechtUtrecht431063310
4Groningen42207348
5Fortuna SittardSittard32015326
6NECNijmegen42025326
7Sparta RotterdamSparta41304316
8Feyenoord31207345
9Willem II41215415
10Heerenveen31115234
11FC Twente31114404
12Ajax21012203
13PEC Zwolle410347-33
14Go Ahead Eagles410327-53
15NAC BredaNAC Breda4103411-73
16Heracles402227-52
17Almere CityAlmere City4013212-101
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk4004212-100


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