MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 19:39:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
NEC

AZ
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Mijnans (16')
Moller Wolfe (22'), Bazoer (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoedemakers (15'), Marquez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 0-1 AZ
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NEC

AZ Alkmaar were far from their best in their opening fixture, but a return to home turf should see them up the ante. We are tipping the hosts to emerge victorious in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawNEC
60.58% (-1.99 -1.99) 19.73% (0.458 0.46) 19.68% (1.53 1.53)
Both teams to score 62.6% (1.244 1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.82% (0.318 0.32)33.17% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.07% (0.363 0.36)54.92% (-0.367 -0.37)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.407 -0.41)10.71% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.37% (-0.914 -0.91)34.63% (0.912 0.91)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (1.703 1.7)29.89% (-1.706 -1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (2.008 2.01)65.99% (-2.011 -2.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 60.58%
    NEC 19.68%
    Draw 19.73%
AZ AlkmaarDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.296 -0.3)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.161 -0.16)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 60.58%
1-1 @ 8.64% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.245 0.25)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.304 0.3)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 19.68%

How you voted: AZ vs Nijmegen

AZ Alkmaar
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
NEC
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
0-3
AZ

Proper (66'), Sano (90+3')
De Wit (16'), Pavlidis (58'), Poku (90+5')
de Wit (34'), Pavlidis (49'), Sugawara (74'), de Wit (87')
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
1-2
Nijmegen
Pavlidis (57')
Dost (11'), Mattsson (31')
van Wermeskerken (55')
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nijmegen
0-3
AZ

Kramer (22'), Schone (42')
Proper (83')
Karlsson (28', 50'), Clasie (43')
Sep 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (57')
Marquez (54')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
Nijmegen
1-3
AZ
Guth (44')
Karlsson (8', 70'), Evjen (76')
Vindahl Jensen (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
29-34
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV44001831512
2AZ AlkmaarAZ431050510
3FC UtrechtUtrecht431063310
4Groningen42207348
5Fortuna SittardSittard32015326
6NECNijmegen42025326
7Sparta RotterdamSparta41304316
8Feyenoord31207345
9Willem II41215415
10Heerenveen31115234
11FC Twente31114404
12Ajax21012203
13PEC Zwolle410347-33
14Go Ahead Eagles410327-53
15NAC BredaNAC Breda4103411-73
16Heracles402227-52
17Almere CityAlmere City4013212-101
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk4004212-100


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