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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
60.58% (![]() | 19.73% (![]() | 19.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.82% (![]() | 33.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.07% (![]() | 54.92% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.29% (![]() | 10.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.37% (![]() | 34.63% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% (![]() | 29.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% (![]() | 65.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 8.64% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Willem II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
11 | FC Twente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |