Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Midtjylland1 - 0PAOK
We said: FC Midtjylland 1-1 PAOK
Having already beaten Copenhagen in Denmark this season, PAOK will fancy their chances of claiming a positive result against Midtjylland on Thursday. However, with little to separate the two teams, a score draw could be on the cards at the MCH Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | PAOK |
| 41.54% | 22.81% | 35.65% |
| Both teams to score 65.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
