Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.