Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Toše Proeski Arena
Shkendija3 - 1Valmiera
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Valmiera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkendija | Draw | Valmiera |
48.43% ( 0.02) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 28.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( -0.04) | 39.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( -0.04) | 62.31% ( 0.04) |
| Shkendija Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.01) | 16.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.01) | 46.67% ( 0.02) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.03) | 26.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.05% ( -0.05) | 61.95% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Shkendija 48.44%
Valmiera 28.42%
Draw 23.14%
| Shkendija | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.42% |
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 4pm
