MX23RW : Thursday, July 25 14:35:08| >> :120:43140:43140:
France national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Poland national football team

France
1 - 1
Poland

Mbappe (56' pen.)
Rabiot (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lewandowski (79' pen.)
Zalewski (24'), Probierz (53'), Dawidowicz (89'), Swiderski (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

France miss out on top spot in Group D after being held to a 1-1 draw by Poland despite Kylian Mbappe opening his account at the European Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with Poland at the Westfalenstadion.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
FranceDrawPoland
57.11% (0.306 0.31) 22.88% (-0.112 -0.11) 20.01% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (0.206 0.21)47.19% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (0.192 0.19)69.42% (-0.193 -0.19)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.17699999999999 0.18)16.28% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15% (0.322 0.32)45.84% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)37.73% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.084 -0.08)74.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    France 57.1%
    Poland 20.01%
    Draw 22.88%
FranceDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 57.1%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: France vs Poland

France
84.3%
Draw
9.7%
Poland
6.0%
586
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2022 3pm
Last 16
France
3-1
Poland
Giroud (44'), Mbappe (74', 90+1')
Lewandowski (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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