MX23RW : Thursday, July 25 16:41:57| >> :120:50750:50750:
Poland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Austria national football team

Poland
1 - 3
Austria

Piatek (30')
Slisz (53'), Moder (62'), Lewandowski (64'), Szczesny (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Trauner (9'), Baumgartner (66'), Arnautovic (78' pen.)
Wimmer (56'), Arnautovic (70')

The Match

Match Report

Austria keep their Euro 2024 hopes alive with a deserved 3-1 victory over Poland in Berlin, taking them joint top of Group D ahead of France facing Netherlands.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Poland and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 clash with Austria.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Austria 0-1 France
Monday, June 17 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawAustria
36.94% (-0.111 -0.11) 26.95% (-0.035 -0.04) 36.1% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.06% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.146 0.15)54.19% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.124 0.12)75.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)28.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.007000000000005 0.01)64.01% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.15899999999999 0.16)28.79% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.199 0.2)64.64% (-0.199 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Poland 36.94%
    Austria 36.1%
    Draw 26.95%
PolandDrawAustria
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.94%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Poland vs Austria

Poland
44.6%
Draw
26.8%
Austria
28.7%
635
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
0-0
Austria
Klich (85'), Bielik (93')
Arnautovic (9'), Sabitzer (33'), Laimer (46')
Mar 21, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
0-1
Poland

Dragovic (51'), Alaba (81')
Piatek (69')
Bereszynski (54')
rhs 2.0
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