Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for France in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for France.