MX23RW : Monday, November 4 23:18:09| >> :600:1915163:1915163:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Poland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Netherlands national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Netherlands

Buksa (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gakpo (29'), Weghorst (83')
Veerman (15')

The Match

Match Report

Wout Weghorst scores a late winner as Netherlands record a 2-1 win over Poland at the Volksparkstadion at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro 2024 clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Poland had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
27.34% (-0.113 -0.11) 24.97% (0.084999999999997 0.08) 47.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.441 -0.44)48.85% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.402 -0.4)70.94% (0.396 0.4)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.318 -0.32)32.07% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.361 -0.36)68.54% (0.355 0.36)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.17 -0.17)20.52% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.267 -0.27)53.02% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Poland 27.34%
    Netherlands 47.68%
    Draw 24.96%
PolandDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.069 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.68%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
18.2%
Draw
11.4%
Netherlands
70.4%
604
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Poland
0-2
Netherlands
Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!