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Scotland national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hungary national football team

Scotland
0 - 1
Hungary


McTominay (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Csoboth (90+10')
Styles (18'), Orban (26'), Schafer (44'), Kleinheisler (75'), Csoboth (90+11')

The Match

Match Report

Kevin Csoboth's last-gasp winner breaks Scottish hearts as Hungary snatch a 1-0 win to keep their Euro 2024 dreams alive, sending Steve Clarke's side home in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between Scotland and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Scotland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawHungary
30.3% (0.58 0.58) 24.25% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 45.45% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 58.39% (0.547 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (0.567 0.57)43.98% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (0.552 0.55)66.36% (-0.551 -0.55)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.67100000000001 0.67)27.46% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.86 0.86)62.95% (-0.86 -0.86)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.014000000000003 0.01)51.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 30.3%
    Hungary 45.45%
    Draw 24.25%
ScotlandDrawHungary
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.098 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.47% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.45%

How you voted: Scotland vs Hungary

Scotland
35.8%
Draw
29.1%
Hungary
35.1%
690
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2018 7pm
International Friendlies
Hungary
0-1
Scotland

Szalai (46'), Lazok (66')
Phillips (48')
McGregor (42'), Mulgrew (49')
rhs 2.0
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