Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashford Town win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Northwood had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Northwood win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashford Town would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.26) 
