Both encounters between Norwich and Brighton in 2021-22 might have ended scoreless, but goals ought to be a guarantee between the confident Canaries and a Seagulls side who can always be relied upon to produce the attacking goods on the road.
A depleted Seagulls defence is at serious risk of being exposed by Thorup's men, but the visitors should be able to fight fire with fire at the other end of the pitch to enter the pot for round four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.09) 
