MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 01:19:22| >> :120:21040:21040:
Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Brighton logo

Norwich
0 - 4
Brighton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Rutter (37', 45+2'), Enciso (59'), March (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Both encounters between Norwich and Brighton in 2021-22 might have ended scoreless, but goals ought to be a guarantee between the confident Canaries and a Seagulls side who can always be relied upon to produce the attacking goods on the road. A depleted Seagulls defence is at serious risk of being exposed by Thorup's men, but the visitors should be able to fight fire with fire at the other end of the pitch to enter the pot for round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
44.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.93% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 33.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 64.53% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-0.393 -0.39)36.48% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-0.431 -0.43)58.62% (0.427 0.43)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.152 -0.15)17.08% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.265 -0.27)47.26% (0.261 0.26)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-0.235 -0.23)22.18% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (-0.354 -0.35)55.58% (0.35100000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.04%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 33.02%
    Draw 22.93%
Norwich CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Norwich vs Brighton

Norwich City
19.0%
Draw
13.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
67.2%
58
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Brighton
0-0
Norwich
Lamptey (68')
McLean (82')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
0-0
Brighton
Kabak (30'), Giannoulis (50'), Pukki (75')
Veltman (15'), Lallana (24'), Cucurella (41'), Duffy (90+2'), Burn (90+4')
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Norwich
1-1
Brighton
Watkins (42')
Gross (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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