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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Arsenal logo

Brighton
1 - 1
Arsenal

Pedro (61' pen.)
Veltman (64'), Minteh (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nwaneri (16')
Nwaneri (45+1'), Merino (84'), Calafiori (90')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal miss the chance to move to within three points of Premier League leaders Liverpool as a spirited Brighton & Hove Albion hold them to a 1-1 draw.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brighton & Hove Albion could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League match with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
28.31% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 22.83% (0.0030000000000001 0) 48.85% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.09% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)38.51% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (-0.064 -0.06)60.81% (0.064 0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.074000000000012 -0.07)26.03% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)61.06% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94%16.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 28.32%
    Arsenal 48.85%
    Draw 22.82%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.32%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.64% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Brighton vs Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion
10.8%
Draw
13.1%
Arsenal
76.1%
222
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
1-1
Brighton
Havertz (38')
Rice (42'), Partey (45+3'), Maduro (70'), Raya (90+4')
Rice (49')
Pedro (58')
Hurzeler (43'), Minteh (70'), Pedro (90+6')
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Brighton
0-3
Arsenal

Balepa (76')
Saka (33' pen.), Havertz (62'), Trossard (86')
Saliba (79'), White (90+5')
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton
Jesus (53'), Havertz (87')
White (38'), Arteta (43')

Mitoma (43'), Gilmour (76'), Gross (89')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 36
Arsenal
0-3
Brighton
Enciso (51'), Undav (86'), Estupinan (90+6')
Dec 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Brighton
2-4
Arsenal
Mitoma (65'), Ferguson (77')
Saka (2'), Odegaard (39'), Nketiah (47'), Martinelli (71')
Build-up
 Arsenal are facing a "mad period of games"on January 3, 2025
Brighton vs. Arsenal: Mikel Arteta to drop in-form Gunners attacker for Premier League clash?
Arsenal expert Charles Watts tells Sports Mole that he would not be surprised to see Gabriel Jesus come out of the starting XI for the clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Jan 3, 13:27
Arsenal's Jurrien Timber pictured on December 21, 2024
Mikel Arteta has two options to replace suspended Jurrien Timber in Arsenal's clash with Brighton
Arsenal lose Jurrien Timber to suspension for their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion after his yellow card in their 3-1 win over Brentford.
Jan 1, 21:00
Arsenal's Kai Havertz pictured on September 22, 2024
Arsenal injury, suspension list and return dates for Brighton: Havertz, Timber, Sterling
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League match with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Jan 2, 07:51
Brighton & Hove Albion's Danny Welbeck celebrates scoring on October 6, 2024
Brighton lineup vs. Arsenal: Predicted XI for Premier League clash as Danny Welbeck denied Gunners reunion
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brighton & Hove Albion could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Jan 2, 13:29
Arsenal's Jurrien Timber warms up on September 22, 2024
Arsenal lineup vs. Brighton: Predicted XI for Premier League clash as Kai Havertz decision made
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Jan 2, 13:38
Arsenal's Kai Havertz celebrates scoring on November 30, 2024
Mikel Arteta delivers Kai Havertz update before Brighton as Arsenal receive Ben White injury boost
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta confirms that he expects Kai Havertz to be available for the Gunners' Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday evening.
Jan 3, 10:28
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton225891928-923
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
18Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2313191653-376


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