MX23RW : Monday, February 3 16:21:42| >> :60:298:298:
Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Bulgaria national football team

Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Gurbanli (87')
Cafarquliyev (26'), Bayramov (28'), Mammadov (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krastev (59')
Iliev (25'), Iliev (25'), Antov (75'), Petkov (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-0 Mongolia
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Azerbaijan 1-1 Bulgaria

 Despite a narrow win against huge minnows on Friday, Azerbaijan were still dominant and will fancy their chances against out-of-form opponents here, especially after a respectable Euro qualifying campaign. A first win in 18 months against Tanzania will hardly raise spirits too much for a nation stagnating and struggling greatly for form, and a draw here would likely be perceived as a very good result for Bulgaria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawBulgaria
47.66% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 25.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49%55.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31%76.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)36.8% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (-0.032 -0.03)73.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 47.66%
    Bulgaria 25.93%
    Draw 26.41%
AzerbaijanDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Bulgaria

Azerbaijan
55.8%
Draw
23.1%
Bulgaria
21.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Bulgaria
2-0
Azerbaijan
Aleksandrov (20'), Rangelov (56')
Ivanov (15'), Dyakov (79'), Milanov (90')

Sadiqov (48'), Amirguliyev (77'), Garayev (79')
> Match Report
Sep 9, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Azerbaijan
1-2
Bulgaria
Nazarov (54')
Abisov (23'), Javadov (35'), Abdullayev (90')
Mitsanski (14'), Hristov (87')
Gadzhev (62')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!