Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
We said: Mexico 2-2 Canada
Both sides look rejuvenated under new managers, who have given them a lot more freedom going forward, which is why we project a spirited affair with multiple goes for each.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53% . A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67% .
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Mexico Draw Canada 53% ( 0.22) 25.33% ( 0.12) 21.67% ( -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.17% ( -0.74)
45.02% ( -0.77) 54.97% ( 0.77)
23.75% ( -0.64) 76.25% ( 0.64)
79.24% ( -0.22) 20.76% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.61% ( -0.35) 53.39% ( 0.35)
59.53% ( -0.77) 40.47% ( 0.77)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.92% ( -0.71) 77.08% ( 0.71)
Mexico 52.99%
Canada 21.67%
Draw 25.32%
Mexico Draw Canada 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.99% 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.32% 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.67%
How you voted: Mexico vs Canada
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rhs 2.0
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