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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 17, 2021 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
26.38%29.62%43.99%
Both teams to score 40.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.19%65.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.55%84.45%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8%42.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.4%78.6%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.38%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.99%
    Draw 29.61%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 26.38%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 12.63%
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.61%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

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Apr 18, 2021 7am
gameweek 10
1-2
Inagaki (85')
Nagasawa (44')
Hayashi (6'), Sakai (45')
Hayashi (24'), Iino (31')
Nov 3, 2020 4am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Xavier (85')
Jul 18, 2020 10am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Maeda (62')
Nakatani (55'), Yoshida (83')

Toyoda (55'), Alves (64')
Alves (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia24154537191849
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka24135628181044
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers2413563930944
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe24126637211642
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima23910439241537
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2491053226637
7FC Tokyo2410683532336
8Avispa Fukuoka249872322135
9Tokyo Verdy2481063236-434
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa249693934533
11Yokohama F MarinosYokohama2495103737032
12Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2494112729-231
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol247893036-629
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2461083535028
15Albirex Niigata2477103237-528
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2467113438-425
17Kyoto Sanga2467112238-1625
18Jubilo Iwata2466123040-1024
19Sagan Tosu2372143040-1023
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2436152147-2615


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