Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
57.48% ( 1.07) | 24.63% ( -0.07) | 17.88% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 43.61% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% ( -1.02) | 56.74% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% ( -0.82) | 77.69% ( 0.83) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.02) | 19.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.36% ( 0.03) | 51.65% ( -0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.28% ( -1.81) | 45.72% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.49% ( -1.45) | 81.51% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |