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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (49' pen.), Douvikas (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dominguez (5' og.), Mari (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Girona
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia

With these two sides entering this contest in contrasting form, Celta will be backed to continue their strong run. Nevertheless, we are selecting Valencia to regain some confidence in their concluding fixture, even if it will not make up for the disappointment of missing out on Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
53.24% (0.434 0.43) 25.72% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.35% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)56.97% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)77.87% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.152 0.15)21.47% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.23 0.23)54.5% (-0.224 -0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (-0.418 -0.42)42.26% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (-0.363 -0.36)78.66% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 53.22%
    Valencia 21.04%
    Draw 25.72%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
45.8%
Draw
19.4%
Valencia
34.7%
72
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Valencia
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
De la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
Amallah (77'), Pepelu (87'), Guillamon (90+2')
Cervi (71'), Nunez (79')
May 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Seferovic (60')
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid23155351222950
2Atletico MadridAtletico23147238152349
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal23117546341240
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Real Sociedad2394102020031
8GironaGirona2394103133-231
9Osasuna227962731-430
10Mallorca2293101928-930
11Real BetisBetis237882731-429
12Celta Vigo2384113437-328
13Sevilla237792534-928
14Getafe236981817127
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
16Espanyol2365122235-1323
17Leganes2358101932-1323
18Valencia2357112437-1322
19AlavesAlaves2356122535-1021
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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