Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
39.57% ( -0.08) | 26.92% ( 0.16) | 33.51% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.84% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.69% ( -0.64) | 54.31% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% ( -0.54) | 75.7% ( 0.54) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( -0.34) | 26.85% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( -0.45) | 62.15% ( 0.45) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -0.37) | 30.49% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -0.45) | 66.71% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |