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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
2 - 1
Exeter

Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City

Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
66.56% (0.346 0.35) 18.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 14.96% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07% (-0.127 -0.13)35.93% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98% (-0.141 -0.14)58.02% (0.142 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)10.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.95% (0.113 0.11)33.05% (-0.111 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.413 -0.41)36.82% (0.415 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.413 -0.41)73.6% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 66.56%
    Exeter City 14.96%
    Draw 18.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.47%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth442713475393694
2Derby CountyDerby442681075373886
3Bolton WanderersBolton442411981483383
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough432481184562880
5Barnsley4421121179601975
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4421101376542273
7Lincoln CityLincoln4419141163372671
8Blackpool4420101460431770
9Stevenage4418131354441067
10Leyton Orient441711165053-362
11Northampton TownNorthampton44178195563-859
12Wycombe WanderersWycombe431513155553258
13Exeter CityExeter441610184358-1558
14Bristol Rovers44169195264-1257
15Wigan AthleticWigan441810165955456
16Charlton AthleticCharlton441119146363052
17Reading441511186365-250
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44138233363-3047
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge431210213859-2146
20Burton Albion441110233662-2643
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham43118243761-2441
22Port Vale441010244172-3140
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood44813234572-2737
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4479284076-3630


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