Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 0-2 Derby County
Promotion-chasing Derby are set to go up against an in-form Exeter side, but after winning their last two head-to-head meetings, we think that the Rams will do enough to claim all three points on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Derby County |
19.84% ( 0.18) | 23% ( -0.07) | 57.16% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
