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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 24.87% ( 0) | 31.06% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 0.02) | 46.41% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.3% ( 0.02) | 68.69% ( -0.02) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -0.02) | 21.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.06% ( -0.03) | 53.94% ( 0.03) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.05) | 28.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.06) | 63.86% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 53 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
8 | Reading | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 40 |
12 | Stevenage | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 40 |
13 | Blackpool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 26 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 24 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |