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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Matete (73'), Butcher (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (79')
Raggett (85'), Bishop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

 Plymouth have been in impressive form at Home Park this season, and after winning 13 of their 14 home league games, we think they will edge out Portsmouth to claim a narrow victory on Saturday, Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
55.19% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 21.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)15.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.107 0.11)34.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.116 0.12)70.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
    Portsmouth 21.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Portsmouth
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Pack (43')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Portsmouth
Raggett (11' og.), Opoku (78')
Opoku (71'), Reeves (85')
Marquis (63' pen.), Naylor (65')
Marquis (33'), Cannon (73'), Naylor (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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