Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Carlisle United |
58.73% ( 0.05) | 22.2% ( 0) | 19.07% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
