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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Leyton Orient

Carlisle
0 - 1
Leyton Orient

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Leyton Orient

 Carlisle have only won one of their last four matches against Orient, and as mentioned, were beaten in both games in League Two last season. We are expecting Saturday's fixture to be close in terms of the general play and scoreline but are backing Orient to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
39.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 27.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 33.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.48% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)77.48% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)28.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.088000000000008 0.09)31.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.103 0.1)68.06% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 39.12%
    Leyton Orient 33.41%
    Draw 27.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Leyton Orient

Carlisle United
16.0%
Draw
36.0%
Leyton Orient
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Leyton Orient
2-3
Carlisle
Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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