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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
23.8% ( 0.45) | 27.03% ( 0.68) | 49.17% ( -1.14) |
Both teams to score 44.93% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.86% ( -2.01) | 59.14% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.42% ( -1.58) | 79.57% ( 1.58) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.26% ( -0.71) | 40.73% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.68% ( -0.64) | 77.32% ( 0.64) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -1.38) | 24.18% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( -2.01) | 58.51% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 46 |
2 | Port Vale | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
6 | Chesterfield | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Notts County | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
9 | Salford City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 31 |
11 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Bromley | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Morecambe | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
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