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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 38
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Bradford City

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Bradford City

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

 Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
23.8% (0.454 0.45) 27.03% (0.681 0.68) 49.17% (-1.135 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.93% (-1.367 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (-2.011 -2.01)59.14% (2.011 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-1.579 -1.58)79.57% (1.579 1.58)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.707 -0.71)40.73% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.642 -0.64)77.32% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-1.384 -1.38)24.18% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (-2.006 -2.01)58.51% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.8%
    Bradford City 49.17%
    Draw 27.02%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.725 0.73)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.49 0.49)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.17%

How you voted: Crewe vs Bradford

Crewe Alexandra
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Bradford City
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bradford
0-0
Crewe

Banks (30'), Halliday (65')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
gameweek 44
Bradford
P-P
Crewe
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
gameweek 6
Crewe
2-1
Bradford
Kirk (42'), Lowery (60')
Pickering (7'), Lowery (74'), Ng (77'), Dale (94')
Vaughan (32')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Crewe
0-1
Bradford

Ray (62')
Proctor (50')
McMahon (70')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Crewe
Liddle (45'), Clarke (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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